If the market has uncertainty regarding forex interest rates, then any bit of news regarding interest rates can directly affect the currency markets.
Traditionally, if a country raises its interest rates, the currency of that country will strengthen in relation to other countries, as investors shift assets to that country to gain a higher return. Hikes in interest rates, however, are generally bad news for stock markets. Some investors will transfer money out of a country's stock market when interest rates are hiked, believing that higher borrowing costs will affect the balance sheet negatively and result in devalued stock, causing the country's currency to weaken. Which effect dominates can be tricky, but generally there is a consensus beforehand as to what the interest rate move will do.
Interest rates and the FOREX markets
National central banks play an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to control the money supply, inflation, and/or interest rates and often have official or unofficial target rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the market. Milton Friedman argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low, and to sell when the rate is too high — that is, to trade for a profit based on their more precise information. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of central bank "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses, like other traders would, and there is no convincing evidence that they do make a profit trading.
The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank.
The main way that interest rates in the United States economy can affect the forex market is by helping to funnel money in and out of foreign investments.
Tip:
Interest rates should have a positive effect on trading flows. But that's not how it works in the forex market.
Every successful forex trader pays attention to the fundamentals; learn about the Interest rate policy is actually a key driver of currency prices
Forex interest rates
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